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Volatility Is Key Indicator Now

 

VIX, Volatility Is Key Indicator Now

It's danger time now with the markets extended and eerie calm.

Released on Tuesday, March 19, 2019, 1:00 AM ET
by Email Russ UrbanContact SpeculatingStocks



Pittsburgh, PA (SpeculatingStocks) - The exchanges have rallied 20%+ since the beginning of the year. The S&P, NASDAQ, and DOW are all significantly above their 200-day moving averages, with the S&P and NASDAQ rather extended. The DOW would be extended if not for Boeing's (NYSE:BA) big drop as of late.

We're looking at a market that is in the last gasp of its current run. Investors have to watch not to get trapped as all waters seem calm and it truly is the calm before the storm again. The VIX Volatility Index has had a historic drop since late December with it now at around the 13 level with it over 35 in mid-December.



We are likely to see at least a brief pullback in the market. The question is whether there will be volatility like the market saw in October of last year and December of last year or if volatility will move generally sideways like in 2017 and 2018 when calmness ruled the roost for an extended, abnormal period of time.

It seems most logical to lean towards a bigger spike in volatility due to global economic conditions weakening and several items coming to the forefront such as the Mueller Report and Venezuela as well as the trade war with China and North Korea bubbling up again. The ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (NYSE:UVXY) that tracks the VIX showed a potential reversal to the upside during yesterday's session. The picture will become clearer by the day.

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⇒ About the Author of this News Article:

Russ Urban has been following the stock market for over 18 years and holds a Bachelor's Degree in Finance. From a young age, he watched CNBC with a keen eye and became obsessed with the market and technology. Russ Urban has written hundreds of stock articles and stock picks through the years since he founded SpeculatingStocks.com, Inc. in 2006 and holds strong faith in the power of the markets and capitalism.

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